Promoting India Latin America Collaboration

Brazil boom breeds new generation of millionaires

Brazilian Carnival parade in Rio de Janeiro.Image via Wikipedia

Reuters.

By the time he was 29, Calderaro was worth well over a million reais ($630,000) thanks to big bets on steel, mining and banking stocks just as Brazil’s economy was taking off after decades of lackluster growth. Since then, his fortune has swelled even more, cementing his status as a full-fledged member of Brazil’s new rich.

“I was in the right place at the right time,” said Calderaro, who is now 31 and teaches seminars on the stock market when he is not managing his own expanding portfolio. “All this was possible because of the economy.”

Thanks largely to a commodities and credit boom, Brazil is seeing a burst of economic growth that is lifting millions out of poverty in a country long known for its stark inequality. On top of that wave, riding a stock market that tripled in four years, is a breed of millionaires like Calderaro being created at a breakneck pace — at least 23,000 last year.

Popularity: 4% [?]

India can grow over 8-8.5%

SIFY
[Confederation of Indian Industry President and ICICI Bank Managing Director K V Kamath ] noted with satisfaction India having a strong savings rate of 34.8 per cent, investment rate of 35.9 per cent and incremental capital-output ratio (ICOR) of four per cent, better than China(4.3 per cent) and Brazil (5.1 per cent). The country had a strong domestic consumption of 6.7 per cent of GDP in 2007-08 and strong 20 per cent growth in export and foreign exchange reserves at $312 billion, he observed.

He expected the Reserve Bank of India to take ‘conservative’ measures in its credit policy later this month to check the high inflation without affecting industry gorwth. The Indian banking system was in good stead now, with cleaning up of Non-Performing Assets (NPAs) in the last ten years.

Setting economic aspirations for medium term, he said the country need to double per capita income in ten years by aspiring for a ten per cent GDP growth. Manufacturing share in growth should be increased to 25 per cent by 2020.

Outlining the development agenda for medium term, he said the country should provide better access to health, education and skills for its people, make housing affordable and develop model cities to accommodate future urban migration.

He said the CII was deepening engagement with Brazil for cooperation in agriculture, with Russia in energy and with China to build on complementary strengths in various fields.

By 2022, India could be the World’s largest pool of trained manpower, leaders in industry and commerce, accounting for 10 per cent of world trade and a source of global innovations, he envisaged.

Popularity: 4% [?]

Brazil agribusiness wants looser ties to China, India in WTO talks

AFP
PFAN President Gilman Viana Rodrigues told reporters that that strategy benefited India and China more than Brazil.

It delivered “a certain level of concessions to protectionist countries that are not exporters … and these concessions are going to diminish the ambition of countries like Brazil,” he said.

Brazil’s agricultural sector accounts for 24 percent of gross domestic product, 37 percent of jobs in the country, 36 percent of exports and “all of the trade surplus,” the Forum’s letter said.

Brazil has become one of the world’s leading agricultural exporters. Over the past five years, agricultural exports have nearly doubled, and in 2007 they brought in 58.4 billion dollars.

Popularity: 3% [?]

Brazil: Another reason for high oil prices

Oil prices 1996-2008 (not adjusted for inflation)Image via Wikipedia

BloggingStocks
Oil workers at Petrobras, the Brazilian oil company, have gone out on strike. Brazil is a modestly important supplier of crude, but with the recent discovery of large off-shore deposits, its role is likely to grow.

According to Bloomberg, the strike “may cut Brazilian daily oil output by more than half.”

The strike raises two problems, one short term. The psychology of oil prices is so fragile now that even rumors of supply interruptions push crude up. The other, more important problem, is in the future. Brazil’s new and significant oil reserves will make the world more dependent on the country for crude. If the workers can strike now to get higher wages, they can strike later. That puts Brazil’s output at a level of permanent risk.

Popularity: 2% [?]

Why Brazilians Should Demand the Renationalization of Petrobras

Bold proposals. In India, future inflation can be tempered by redirecting investment into strengthening the extensive rail network – and diverting freight to rail from roads. Moving freight primarily by truck is folly in this era of expensive oil.

BrazzilMag
One of the central benefits obtained through the nationalization of the oil companies will be the immediate redirection of all accumulated profits towards finding renewable sources of energy to replace oil, the construction of an affordable cross country mass transit system, a high-speed rail network, investment in nuclear energy, investing in high-speed broadband infrastructure, and also investing in some other key strategic infrastructures.

This would lay an infrastructure of transportation for the 21st century that would eventually replace our outmoded highly inefficient highway system that is geared more towards a resource-abundant past and not a resource-constrained future.

I would suggest that the Brazilian government invest at least $ 300 billion dollars in four major areas in Brazil as follows:

1) Nuclear power plants – US$ 180 billion

2) Strategic infrastructure – US$ 50 billion

3) High-speed broadband infrastructure – US$ 30 billion

4) High-speed rail networks – Bullet Trains – US$ 40 billion

Popularity: 3% [?]

BRICs nations shift in growth pattern

Map of Brazil issued by the Portuguese explore...Image via Wikipedia

The Economic Times
The Asian tigers have lost their allure. And while growth in both China and India is still expected to be among the highest in the world, the sharp decline in their stock markets — China has fallen a whopping 41% since December 2007 with India a close second at 38% — is a measure of the seachange. Once the darlings of investors worldwide, they have now been forsaken for more attractive alternatives.

In contrast, Brazil and Russia have come from almost nowhere to become the new poster boys. True, their growth rates of 5.8% and 8.5%, respectively, for the first quarter of 2008 may still trail Chindia’s (as China and India are often referred to collectively). But even as stock markets around the world have collapsed, both Russia and Brazil are up in dollar terms — Russia by 1% and Brazil by almost 15% during the period December 2007 to June 25, 2008.

What has changed? The world’s unsatiable appetite for commodities and the vantage position of these two economies as major commodity producers. While Russia’s energy resources — both oil and gas — put it in an enviable position in a world where energy has become the lynchpin on which everything else revolves, Brazil with its unique dominance in both food as well as energy, is even better-placed.

Popularity: 6% [?]

India’s 2008 cane crop to fall, sugar prices may rise

Reuters
Sugar output in India, the world’s biggest producer after Brazil, was an all-time high at 28.4 million tonnes last year, adding to bulging global stocks, which helped prices plunge.

Trade officials forecast this year’s sugar output at 26-27 million tonnes, which will fall to as low as 21-22 million tonnes next year as farmers will be encouraged to switch to grains and oilseeds.

“Farmers look at the price situation and the market situation,” Agriculture Secretary P.K. Mishra told reporters. “Therefore, the cane area is likely to be less this year.”

Official data shows sugarcane planting from June 1 to July 4 fell to 4.28 million hectares from 5.17 million a year ago.

The news of less cane planting in India comes along with news that sugar production in Australia and Brazil may drop and Brazil will divert more cane for ethanol as crude oil prices soar,” said Atul Pandey, senior manager of Bunge India Pvt Ltd.

Popularity: 7% [?]

Who Should Be A G8(+5) Member?

Forbes.com
“Asia is going to become an even more dominant portion of the global economy in the next few years,” says Francisco Larios, chief economist of emerging markets at Decision Economics. “They’re supplying the world with capital and expanding the reach of their investments around the world. The Asian economic ascent has to be represented in all national forums.”

But major roadblocks stand in the way of China’s eventual membership.
The G-8 originated as a summit for the world’s major industrialized democracies, and many pundits contend that socialist China lacks any ideological common ground that furthers the G-8′s discourse. Some American politicians, including likely Republican presidential nominee John McCain, advocate both the refusal of admission to China and the removal of Russia from the group due to publicized restrictions of civil liberties imposed by their governments.

India, meanwhile, is a model capitalist democracy and maintains a civil relationship with the G-8 nations–two important qualifications for a first-class candidate. But many experts aren’t sure if India would even accept the invitation if offered. India is a leading member of the Non-Aligned Movement, an organization of nations declaring themselves neither for nor against any major global alliances. The nation might also take a G-8 invitation to be an insignificant gesture compared with their larger goals as a world power.

“I think there might be a certain element of Groucho-Marxism to India’s situation,” says Newton, referring to the comedian’s famous assertion that he “wouldn’t belong to any club that would have him for a member.” “It’s also not as if they’re being offered a seat on the U.N. Security Council.”

Though they would likely join the clubhouse after China and India, Brazil and Mexico are also strong candidates for membership. Their economies are growing at a breakneck pace, and they symbolize geographic regions that are unrepresented in the current G-8.

Popularity: 3% [?]

Brazil announces plan to become world’s granary

India eNews
Brazil’s President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva has announced an initiative, involving an investment of 78 billion reais ($49 billion), to make Brazil the “granary of the world”, Spain’s EFE news agency reported Thursday.

‘What for others is a crisis, Brazil has to face as an opportunity to truly transform ourselves into the granary of the world,’ Lula told a gathering Wednesday in the southern city of Curitiba.

Lula said the crisis over food shortages not only opens up opportunities for Brazil but also for other South American and African countries.

He added that to help those countries increase their agricultural production, Brazil set up offices of its agricultural research service Embrapa in Ghana and Venezuela.

‘Embrapa, which made Brazil the main technological experts in the area of tropical agriculture, also can convert the country into a great exporter of agricultural technology,’ he said.

Popularity: 3% [?]

Wanted – Skilled Workers for a Growing Economy in Brazil

Cirrus Airlines Embraer 170Image via Wikipedia

One possible solution is to have a roadshow in Indian cities, to attract Indian engineers to Brazil.

NYTimes.com
The average Brazilian worker has six years of schooling, compared with 10 years in South Korea, 11 in Japan and 12 in the United States and Europe, according to the National Confederation of Industry study.

Of the few Brazilians who go to a university, fewer than one in five take engineering, science, mathematic or computing, according to a recent World Bank study on the links between education and economic growth.

“In Brazil, most people that go to university do social science programs and this happens not because people desire to study philosophy, anthropology, geography, history,” said the study’s author Alberto Rodriguez, “but because private universities, where the growth has taken place, offer these courses because they are cheaper than offering engineering.”

Popularity: 3% [?]

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