Promoting India Latin America Collaboration

Argentina misses out on grain bonanza as farm crisis sparks fears of economic downturn

From a sound economic point of view, it is more effective for governments to make direct cash transfers or provide vouchers to the poor than to mess with the price mechanism this way. Government-induced price distortions always end in more tears for the poor. Politicians around the world seems to have trouble with the concept of opportunity cost.

via International Herald Tribune

So far, the strikes have cost Argentine farmers US$2.3 billion in missed soy, wheat, corn and sunflower seed sales, said Pablo Adreani, an economic analyst with AgriPAC Consultores, a Buenos Aires consulting firm.

“The fact that we’re even considering a crisis amid this historical commodities boom makes no sense,” said Gabriel Torres, a senior analyst at Moody’s Investor Services in New York. “It tells you how incredibly self-inflicted this is.”

Had the government taxed rising farm income at its previous rate(35% instead of the current 46%), the windfall could have financed needed utilities and energy sector infrastructure or funded programs for the country’s 10 million poor, analysts said.

“The opportunity cost of this paralyzed economy is huge,” said Ricardo Baccarin, chief analyst at Paniagricola S.A., a Buenos Aires grain brokerage. “There’s practically a complete paralysis of commercial activity.”

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Sowing seeds of success

Follow-up to the NYT article a few days ago. In fact, a couple of lines in this article refer to quotes in that article.

viaThe Economic Times
Countries are on a global hunt to secure for themselves supplies of all commodities — metals, energy and food — that they consider of strategic importance for their future development. Politics be damned.

No country scalded by a volatile international market in recent months wants to depend on intermediary trading companies and vagaries of fluctuating prices. Governments have realised that it is often impossible to predict supply squeezes, which can occur due to causes below their radar. That makes protecting a country’s supply pipeline from drying up even more difficult.

Beijing also plans to encourage Chinese companies to buy farmland abroad, particularly in Africa and South America, to help guarantee food security. India itself is among those seeking to augment local supplies with self-owned resources overseas. Public sector oil marketing companies plan to invest in Brazilian ethanol to supplement local supply and protect against failure of Indian cane crop. A handful of Indian edible oil companies may use Exim Bank to buy 10,000 hectares (at $3000/hectare) of fertile farmland to grow soyabean, maize and sunflower in Uruguay and Paraguay.

[S]trategic resources are at heightened risk from growing demand, fragmented supply chains, climate change, political turmoil and volatile financial markets.

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China, India and climate change

Brazil/Argentina are logical partners for India’s food security.

via Economist.com
The impact of climate change on India…is likely to be worse. According to the Peterson Institute for International Economics, India’s agriculture will suffer more than any other country’s. Assuming a global temperature increase of 4.4°C over cultivated areas by 2080, India’s agricultural output is projected to fall by 30-40%.

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The Food Chain – Food Is Gold, So Billions Invested in Farming

What needs to be replicated by Indian players in LatAm.

via NYTimes.com

a few big private investors are starting to make bolder and longer-term bets that the world’s need for food will greatly increase — by buying farmland, fertilizer, grain elevators and shipping equipment.

[T]hree institutional investors, including the giant BlackRock fund group in New York, are separately planning to invest hundreds of millions of dollars in agriculture, chiefly farmland, from sub-Saharan Africa to the English countryside.

“It’s going on big time,” said Brad Cole, president of Cole Partners Asset Management in Chicago, which runs a fund of hedge funds focused on natural resources. “There is considerable interest in what we call ‘owning structure’ — like United States farmland, Argentine farmland, English farmland — wherever the profit picture is improving.

These new bets by big investors could bolster food production at a time when the world needs more of it.

The investors plan to consolidate small plots of land into more productive large ones, to introduce new technology and to provide capital to modernize and maintain grain elevators and fertilizer supply depots.

Popularity: 2% [?]

MoU between India and Brazil for cooperation in the field of agriculture

via Thaindian News
The Union Cabinet today gave its approval for the signing of an agriculture cooperation agreement between India and Brazil.
The pact also includes clauses for cooperation in allied sectors such as research and development, production technologies and equipment, financing and micro-credit system for small farmers, post harvest management, agro and food processing, cold chain and labs.

Popularity: 2% [?]

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