Promoting India Latin America Collaboration

Latin America showing more resilience to the global economic crisis

China, Brazil to fuel global economic growth – International Business – MiamiHerald.com

Latin America and the East Asian Tigers are lifting the world economic tide, showing more resilience to the global economic crisis than the United States and many European nations.

Such a growth path is a break from the past for Latin American and Caribbean countries, which have had a “history of frequent and devastating financial crises,” the World Bank said in a report called The New Face of Latin America and the Caribbean.

The keys to the newfound resiliency of the Latin American and Caribbean region were more sound monetary policies and better debt and fiscal management, the World Bank said. But a growing connection to emerging Asian economies — especially for South American countries, Costa Rica and Panama — and the region’s evolution from a net debtor to a net creditor to the rest of the world were also big factors.
In addition to Brazil — Florida’s top trading partner — the best performers this year are expected to be Argentina, Peru, Paraguay and Uruguay.

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Popularity: 3% [?]

Brazil Economic History: Why it was the country of the future that always would be

Brazil has been described as a slumbering economic giant waiting to awake. It is the fifth largest and most populous country in the world, the ninth largest economy (in terms of purchasing power), and the largest market in South America, accounting for up to 60% of South America’s total Gross Domestic Product (GDP) during the 1990’s. Brazil is highly integrated in the global economy. The country is among the world’s top three exporters of tobacco, sugar, orange juice concentrate, soy, beef, chicken, iron, and tin.

Much of Brazil’s trade was done with the United States, and Brazil was a larger trade partner to the U.S. than Italy, Spain, or India throughout the 1990’s. Despite its impressive accomplishments, many commentators argue that Brazil has failed to fully realize its potential. “Brazil is the country of the future,” as the old joke goes, “and always will be”. Annual growth in GDP averaged a modest 2.5% between 1980 and 2000 versus 10.2% for China, 7.8% for South Korea and 5.7% for India.

Brazil’s progress in recent decades has tended to come in jubilant bursts, including president Juscelino Kubitchek’s “Program of Targets” (1956-1961), the “Economic Miracle” years (1968-1973), and more recently Fernando Henrique Cardoso’s “Golden Years” (1993-1997). Each growth spurt, however, has been followed by a period of slow growth.

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Popularity: 21% [?]

Three factors that can derail India’s growth

Rediff.com Business

Water

Freshwater withdrawal today by steel, cement, aluminium, fertiliser, paper and power sectors is equivalent to the total domestic water demand (around 42 billion cubic metres per annum).
Freshwater consumption (water that is lost through evaporation, products and wastes in industries) equals the total drinking and cooking water needs of India (5.6 billion cubic metres per annum). The difference between freshwater withdrawal and consumption is the wastewater discharged by industries, which pollutes our rivers, lakes and groundwater.

By 2030, freshwater withdrawal by these six sectors will increase by 40 per cent and freshwater consumption by more than three-fold. A three-fold increase in consumption means less water will be available downstream for other users.
There is already a growing conflict between industry and local communities on water scarcity and pollution. This will exacerbate in future.

Land

Currently, around 0.7 million hectares (ha) of land are occupied by these six sectors – 0.4 million ha to mine coal, iron ore, limestone and bauxite, and 0.3 million ha for the plants. In an 8 per cent growth trajectory, another 1-1.3 million ha will be required by these six sectors – which means the amount of land needed in the next 20 years will be far higher than what they have acquired in last 60 years.

It is important to understand that India has an adverse land-population ratio (per capita land availability is a mere 0.25 ha)

Popularity: 2% [?]

Latin America and the Caribbean’s Response to Growth in China and India

World Bank – Office of the Chief Economist –

According to the study Latin America and the Caribbean’s Response to the Growth of China and India: Overview of Research Findings and Policy Implications, concerns that both countries are displacing the LAC region in world markets for goods, services, foreign direct investment, and innovation are misleading.

Guillermo Perry, Chief Economist for the World Bank Latin American and the Caribbean region and one of the authors of the study, says despite the concern about the possible effects of the growth of these Asian economies on the LAC region’s manufacturing and services sectors, there is substantial evidence of positive aggregate effects associated with China and India’s presence in world exports, financial flows, and innovation.

China and India’s growth is creating new production possibilities for LAC economies, in particular for sectors that rely on natural resources and scientific knowledge.On the other hand, the study also indicates that some industries, firms and sub-regions are being negatively affected, specially industrial and electrical machinery, electronics, transport equipment, and textiles.

In sum, China and India’s growth has not been a zero-sum game for LAC, but the potential benefits are not being fully realized.

According to the authors, it is crucial that LAC countries take full advantage of the growing presence of China and India in world markets by adopting offensive strategies that facilitate both, the participation of LAC firms in global production networks and their commercial presence in the two Asian economies’ markets.

For governments, the study recommends avoiding protectionist temptations and focusing on facilitating the adjustment in affected sectors, as well as the emerging structural shift towards more natural-resource and scientific-knowledge-intensive sectors by adopting adequate education, innovation, natural resource management, and rural development policies.

Popularity: 8% [?]

The New Paternalism

Nudge is an insightful entertaining read. I hope more policy-makers pay heed. For some reason reminded me of the Keynes quote “Practical men, who believe themselves to be quite exempt from any intellectual influence, are usually the slaves of some defunct economist.”
ChronicleReview.com

What does a peculiar pattern on the road have to do with fixing the nation’s health-care woes, protecting the environment, resolving the thorny issue of gay marriage, and increasing donations to charity? Everything, according to Thaler and Cass R. Sunstein, a professor of law and political science at the University of Chicago. They are authors of a new book, Nudge: Improving Decisions About Health, Wealth, and Happiness (Yale University Press), in which they articulate an approach to designing social and economic policies that incorporates an understanding of people’s cognitive limitations.

They call this governing philosophy “libertarian paternalism.” That is not an oxymoron, they insist in their book. Rather it is a corrective to the longstanding assumption of policy makers that the average person is capable of thinking like Albert Einstein, storing as much memory as IBM’s Big Blue, and exercising the willpower of Mahatma Gandhi. That is simply not how people are, they say. In reality human beings are lazy, busy, impulsive, inert, and irrational creatures highly susceptible to predictable biases and errors. That’s why they can be nudged in socially desirable directions.

Sunstein explains the appeal of libertarian paternalism: “For too
long, the United States [ed. for that matter most countries] has been trapped in a debate between the
laissez-faire types who believe markets will solve all our problems and
the command-and-control types who believe that if there is a market
failure then you need a mandate
.” That debate has been exhausted, he
says.

“The laissez-faire types are right that … government can blunder, so
opt-outs are important,” he says. “The mandate types are right that
people are fallible, and they make mistakes, and sometimes people who
are specialists know better and can steer people in directions that
will make their lives better.”

Sunstein argues that understanding human irrationality can improve
how public and private institutions shape policy by increasing the
likelihood that people will make decisions that are in their own
self-interest.
Most important, he and Thaler insist, such nudges can be
executed while protecting freedom of choice.

Take two examples in their book. Studies show that placing fruit at eye
level in school cafeterias enhances its popularity by as much as 25
percent. Or consider this stroke of creativity by an economist in
Amsterdam charged with cleaning up the restrooms at the Schiphol
Airport: He had a fly etched into the wells of urinals, giving male
patrons something to aim at. Spillage was reduced by 80 percent. The
problems of childhood obesity and foul restrooms are remedied with very
little inconvenience to people — or cost. Children remain free to grab
that piece of chocolate cake, and there is nothing preventing visitors
to Schiphol’s restrooms from ignoring the fly and aiming elsewhere. It
is merely less likely that either group will do so.

[Sunnstein and Thaler] are eager to portray libertarian paternalism as a bipartisan
philosophy.
On many issues, including environmental protection, family
law, and school choice, they argue for less government coercion. “If
incentives and nudges replace requirements and bans, government will be
both smaller and more modest,” they write. “We are not for bigger government, just for better governance.

Popularity: 5% [?]

The world’s best investment: Vitamins for undernourished children

Some ideas in case you want to work on projects that change the world. Arrived at after a cost-benefit analysis.
Copenhagen Consensus Center – CCC Home Page

Over two years, more than 50 economists have worked to find the best solutions to ten of the world’s biggest challenges. During the last week of May, an expert panel of 8 top-economists, including 5 Nobel Laureates, sat down to assess the research.

The ranked list: A prioritized list highlighting the potential of 30 specific solutions to combat some of the biggest challenges facing the world.

Combating malnutrition in the 140 million children who are undernourished reached the number one spot, after economist Sue Horton of Wilfrid Laurier University in Canada made her case to the expert panel.

Providing micronutrients for 80% of the 140 million children who lack essential vitamins in the form of vitamin A capsules and a course of zinc supplements would cost just $60 million per year, according to the analysis. More importantly, this action holds yearly benefits of more than $1 billion.

In effect, this means that each dollar spent on this program creates benefits (in the form of better health, fewer deaths, increased future earnings, etc.) worth more than 17 dollars.

The ranked list of projects


1
Micronutrient supplements for children (vitamin A and zinc)
Malnutrition
2
The Doha development agenda
Trade
3
Micronutrient fortification (iron and salt iodization)
Malnutrition
4
Expanded immunization coverage for children
Diseases
5
Biofortification
Malnutrition
6
Deworming and other nutrition programs at school
Malnutrition & Education
7
Lowering the price of schooling
Education
8
Increase andimprove girls’ schooling
Women
9
Community-based nutrition promotion
Malnutrition
10
Provide support for women’s reproductive role
Women

Popularity: 5% [?]

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