Promoting India Latin America Collaboration

With $2.6bn at stake in Mexico, India Inc swings into action

The Times of India

Indian Inc has begun taking measures to counter any possible impact on employees and operations from the outbreak that is rapidly spreading across nations. Some 15 Indian companies–from IT to pharmaceuticals to auto components–have delivery centres or manufacturing facilities in Mexico. The prominent names being Infosys, Wipro, Birla Carbon Black, Dr Reddy’s Laboratories, JK Tyres, Essel Propack and Videocon.

Essel Propack, the world’s leading laminated tubes manufacturer, has a plant in Mexico and its clients include Unilever and Procter & Gamble. Set up five years ago, the Mexican unit has staff strength of 126 and contribute 6% to Essel Propack’s revenues. JK Tyre had in June 2008 acquired a tyre-manufacturing company Tornel, which has three plants, in Mexico.

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Why Go to Mexico?

Mexico as a nearshoring destination for manufacturing and IT companies.
BusinessWeek

COSTS

The peso has dropped 41% vs. the dollar since August, making Mexican wages and rents more attractive compared with those in China, the U.S., or Canada.
LOGISTICS

Mexican goods can reach U.S. cities in two days, vs. a month from China—a big factor as importers slash inventory costs and lead times.
RISK

Mexico looks better than China when it comes to technology theft, quality issues, travel costs, and delays due to miscommunication.

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India, Chile should bolster economic ties: CII

In my experience in the U.S. and India, I find Chilean embassy staff to be amazingly business-friendly with a facilitative, and not a bureaucratic, mindset. That bodes well to attain the goals outlined in this study.

3 years ago in Delhi, then Chilean Ambassador to India, Amb. Jorge Heine invited me to meet him, and spent an hour talking to me, after I sent an unsolicited email expressing an interest in South-South cooperation and stating my desire to work in that domain. That was a major impetus that put me on my current path to promote India Latin America collaboration. I am still amazed that he did that and thankful for his gesture.
The Hindu News Update Service

India and Latin American country Chile should set up bilateral forums to bolster the economic ties between the two nations to propel the mutual trade to $ 5 billion by 2014, industry body CII has said.

The two countries should set up bilateral forums to harness their economic linkages, a study by CII said, adding, “there is an ample scope for business with Chile and we should target $ 5 billion trade with the Latin American country by 2014.”

Chile’s trading agreements can help India access other markets in South America, it said. Chile has free trade agreements with Canada, the US, the EU, and Mexico and is a member of Latin America Integration Association.

Chile’s commercial agriculture management, supply chain linkages including cold storage, warehousing and transport can be the focus areas for India, the study said.

India’s overall trade with Chile expanded from $ 586.65 million in 2005-06 to $ 2 billion in 2007-08.

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Jim Rogers Busy Turning Raw Land Into Farmland in Brazil

Recession or no recession there are no holidays or time-offs for eating…
As Indians get richer, more of them will eat higher quality food – and about few hundred million will step up from 1/2 to 3 meals a day. Brazil is one of the few places where massive areas of land can be brought under cultivation
Investorazzi.com » Blog Archive »

what we’re doing is buying land in Brazil, and the other one is buying land in Canada, and we’re starting to farm it. In Brazil, greenfield, in Canada, existing farms, because if I’m right, agriculture is going to be one of the great industries of the next 20 years or so, 30 years

What we’re doing, because we see a good future for agriculture, we’re buying some of the land, and fertilizing it, and irrigating it, and turning it into farmland— raw land into farm land— clearing it, which we will farm and hopefully make a lot of money from farming it. And then some day, we’ll probably sell the farms— that’s the plan.

“We’re still going to eat probably. We’re still going to wear clothes probably. You know nobody – Farmers cannot get loans for fertilizer right now. So the supply of everything is going to continue under pressure. Uh the inventories of food are the lowest they’ve been in 50 years. We have serious supply problems developing for many mining goods, oil, agriculture. So even if demand goes flat or down as it did in the 30s as it did in the 70s you can still have a nice market.”

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Singapore to deepen ties with Brazil

Asia One

Singapore wants to build new links with Latin America and deepen its ties with economic powerhouse Brazil.

‘We see Latin America as a new economic frontier offering good business and investment opportunities,’ Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong yesterday told businessmen belonging to the Federation of Industries in the state of Sao Paulo.

Singapore’s Foreign Minister George Yeo was already in the capital Brasilia, for the first ever dialogue between Asean and Mercosur, a trade grouping of Brazil, Chile, Paraguay and Uruguay set up to promote trade and investment in areas such as health and education.

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Peru To Lure Investments Worth US$6 Bln From Asia-Pacific Economies

Bernama.com ver 5.0

Peru expects to lure investments worth US$6 billion from Asia-Pacific economies despite tough global economic conditions after it hosts the region’s biggest gathering of leaders, ministers and top-ranking businessmen this week at its capital in Lima.

It is also seeking to attract investments from Malaysia especially in value-added downstream oil palm activities, Peruvian Ambassador to Malaysia, Alejandro Gordillo Fernandez, told Bernama in an interview here, Sunday.

Fernandez said Peruvian President Allan Garcia Perez aims to impress that his country is a top-notch investment centre at the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (Apec)’s 16th summit and during official and private sector meetings.

Besides banking on a wide mineral base such as copper, gold, silver lead and tin, Peru has bright prospects for petroleum firms to exploit crude oil reserves both onshore and offshore, Fernandez said. Foreign investors could also look for opportunities in the construction, manufacturing, trade and services sectors which have been the most buoyant in the domestic market, he said.

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The Balance Sheet – The lesson of Japan

The New Yorker

The lesson of Japan is that a country’s stock market is not going to rise over time if, over time, its companies fail to create economic value for their shareholders. Felix says that “Japanese companies are well-run.” But, in fact, they’re not well run, at least by the standards that are relevant to shareholders—return on equity, profitability, growth, and managing cash flow in a shareholder-friendly way.

What this means is that for much of the past two decades, Japanese companies have been destroying economic value for shareholders, using far more capital than they’re generating.
Japanese firms’ profit growth is also well below what American companies would consider acceptable. And on softer metrics, too, Japanese companies don’t look like good investments: they’re still concentrated in capital-intensive industries, and are surprisingly weak in industries where immense profits can be reaped after small investments, like, most notably, software.
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IBSA: Connectivity will ensure the way forward

The Financial Express

Intra-nation connectivity is a major impediment to furthering trade between India, South Africa and Brazil, and “I hope the governments of these three countries would take active measures to correct this,” said union commerce minister Kamal Nath, while addressing the summit.

Nath expressed the hope that the business leaders from these three countries would join hands with their respective governments to bring about early improvements in both air and maritime connectivity.
The closer relations between Brazil, South Africa and India have made it possible for their tri-lateral trade to more than double between 2003 and 2007, from $4.6 billion to $10.1 billion, which corresponds to an average annual growth rate of 21.8%.

Chairing one of the sessions Jayant Pendharkar, vice-president and head, Global Marketing, Tata Consultancy Services, said that India offered a unique combination of cost reduction and skills and experience in many business and technological domains, which could be utilised by both Brazil and South Africa.

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An update on Latin America

HSBC analysis via Malta Business Weekly

While Latin America as a region seems to have improved, it is clear that there are countries that have taken advantage of the favourable external environment to improve structurally, while others have not only failed to improve, but have actually made their own situation worse. We talk about a third group of countries that seem to be somewhere in the middle; we are waiting for further definition in terms of the direction each country may take.

Politics plays a fundamental role in determining each country’s group. It is not a matter of the traditional left versus right-wing paradigm, given that the more successful countries cannot be characterised through political geometry. It is rather the return over the last decade of populism and, in some cases, backward steps taken in building up democratic institutions. Given the track record of populism in Latin America, we find it troublesome that some countries are applying economic policies that have weak theoretical underpinnings and that have clearly not worked in the past.

In our view, the countries that have seen a strong deterioration in their fundamentals (as a result of authoritarian populism) are Bolivia, Ecuador, and Venezuela. The countries that have improved their fundamentals (albeit, some more than others) are Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Mexico, Panama, Peru and Uruguay. This leaves six countries that have yet to decide clearly which route they wish to take: Argentina, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua and Paraguay.
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Transportation Costs Are Stunting Exports in Brazil and LatAm

Over long distances, hauling freight by rail is the most economical option. Private companies in LatAm need to put building and upgrading rail lines to ports on the governmental agenda. Or do it themselves in conjunction with overseas investment partners where possible.

Brazil – Brazzil Mag

Latin American exports’ growth depends more on lower transport costs than on reduction of tariffs. This warning is in research “Unclogging the Arteries: A Report on the Impact of Transport Costs on Latin American and Caribbean Trade.”

Produced by the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB), the study includes figures for nine countries: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Peru, Paraguay and Uruguay.

The study should be presented on Wednesday, October 1st, in Brazilian capital Brasília, during seminar “Transport for Trade and Regional Integration”, promoted by the National Confederation of Industries (CNI) in partnership with the IDB. The participants should discuss relations between transport costs and foreign trade in Latin America and propose solutions to the logistics bottlenecks that affect Brazilian exports.

According to the study, a 10% reduction in the value of tariffs would increase exports by these countries by less than 2%. On the other hand, if the same reduction were made in transport costs, foreign sales to the United States would grow 39%. This calculation considers stability of other factors, like exchange rates and economic growth.

To IDB economist Mauricio Mesquita Moreira, one of the authors of the research, the governments of the countries in Latin America are more concerned with tariff and non-tariff barriers and forget other greater obstacles, like transport. “The trade policy in the region is out of focus,” criticizes Moreira.

The report also shows that if the countries in Latin America reduced freight costs by 10%, there would be trade growth of over 20% in the region. In case the reduction was in tariffs, the growth would be just 10%. The reduction of transport costs would benefit products made in Brazil, Chile, Ecuador, Peru and Uruguay and ore and metal exports by Argentina, Colombia and Paraguay.

Latin America spends 7% of export value on freight, almost double the 3.7% spent by the United States. In the case of Brazil, this cost is equivalent to 5.5% of the product price.

“Despite being lower than the Latin American average, the country has been spending much more with transport than the United States,” stated Moreira. “Customs costs are not the main obstacles to foreign trade, with a few exceptions, as is the case with alcohol, cotton and orange. In most products, transport cost may be as much as 50% higher than tariffs.”

The researcher points out that there is space for reduction in transport costs. However, he recognizes that the products exported by the countries in Latin America require greater freight allocation, which ends up increasing costs.

“The comparison between exports of one dollar of chips and one dollar of soy is very different, as the latter is significantly larger. If we divide the weight of the product by its value, transport cost is much higher for primary products than for electronic products,” he explained.

Transport costs in Latin American are almost double that of the United States. According to the study, Argentina spends 22% more than the North Americans, Chile twice, and Paraguay, over four times. Latin American and Caribbean exports to the United States pay ocean freight almost 70% higher than those paid by Dutch products.

The report also shows that around 30% of the transport costs in Latin America are due to port inefficiency. To Moreira, this is the most important figure for the establishment of sector public policies.

“One of the main causes for inefficiency is port competition, which is smaller in Latin America than in the United States and the Netherlands,” he pointed out. “In this area, it is possible to reduce government interference, like the agreements that restrict coastwise navigation.”

Another obstacle is in air imports. According to the research, airfreight costs have grown faster in Latin America than in China and the rest of the world. Freight costs in the Caribbean in 2006, for example, were 36% higher than in 1995. In the same period, China kept the cost below the 1995 figure, despite higher oil prices.

Moreira adds that, in Brazil, airfreight is almost three times more expensive than in the United States. Another problem is that consumers and producers are not informed of these costs.

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