RGE
There have been many fundamentals improvements in Latin America: current account surpluses; better balance sheets; smaller short term foreign currency debt; greater FDI flows; lower fiscal deficits and larger primary surpluses; high forex reserves; a reduction in liability dollarization; low inflation; reform and clean-up of banks and financial system; phase-out of IMF programs.In turn, there are some remaining internal risks that may require more reforms: most [LatAm] countries still have large fiscal deficits and high debt ratios; risk of perverse public debt dynamics if shocks to real interest rates; slow pace of structural reforms, policy uncertainty; ‘reform fatigue’ and rejection of the Washington consensus in some Latin American countries.
There are also some structural impediments to growth that limit the potential long-run growth rate of some countries or regions (Latin America); these include: low investment ratios; low competitiveness; underdeveloped financial system; slow pace of structural reforms (labor, competitition/regulation, social security, taxation systems); weak institutions. So, long-run re-rating and achievement of investment grade depends on policy changes that increase long-run growth.
Posted by: dave | July 14, 2008
Why Are Latin Countries Booming? The Role of Good Policies
Posted in Economics - Indicators, Policy and Trends, Latin America, Public Policy | Tags: Latin America, macroeconomic trends
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[...] the spectacular increase in commodity prices, starting in 2001, many countries in LatAm have been able to build substantial current account surpluses, add to their …. This had provided needed currency stability. Its amazing to know that the Brazilian real which was [...]
By: LatAm countries hold opportunity for Indian mid caps « India, Latin America Collaboration - News, Views, Opportunities on September 17, 2008
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